Beyond GM and Toyota Volkswagen will win global sales this year

According to "Financial Times" and Bloomberg News, several agencies assessed the forecast data show that Volkswagen's total global sales this year is likely to exceed Toyota and General Motors, the first time to win the largest car prices.

First, in 2011 the public won the first prize

The "Financial Times" conducted investigations on three authoritative analysts: J. D. Power & Associates, PwC PwC Autofacts automotive business and IHS Automotive. The above-mentioned organizations agreed that Volkswagen’s global production and sales volume will rank first in 2011 and realize the dream of “Global Sales No. 1 in 2018” ahead of schedule. Three research companies believe General Motors followed, but IHS Automotive and PwC Autofacts Toyota as the third, but J. D. Toyota’s predictions, given by Power, were fourth: Volkswagen’s 7.8 million vehicles, a market share of 10.5%, General Motor’s 7.2 million vehicles, Renault-Nissan’s 6.8 million vehicles and Toyota's 7.2 million vehicles.

Bloomberg also conducted a survey of three analysts and obtained an average sales forecast. In 2011, Volkswagen’s global sales will increase by 13% to 8.1 million units, and General Motors will increase by 8% to 7.55 million. According to the removal of Wuling, Toyota Motor will drop 9% to 7.27 million vehicles.

Second, the emerging markets to promote the public, special changes dragged down Toyota

In 2010, Volkswagen sold 7.2 million vehicles worldwide, ranking Toyota and GM, and selling more than one million vehicles lower than Toyota. However, for the first time in the first half of this year, Volkswagen reached a new high of 4 million units for the first half of the year, and Toyota, which was hit hard by the earthquake, ranked second. Volkswagen CEO Wen Deen therefore expects sales of 8 million vehicles this year.

The sales of Volkswagen and Toyota Motors are expected to have a negative effect. The former is mainly due to outstanding performance in emerging markets such as China, while the latter is due to a series of negative changes this year.

J. D. Power expects that Volkswagen’s sales in China will increase by 20% year-on-year to 2.3 million units, while sales in India will double to more than 116,000 units. IHS Automotive's chief economist Nigel Griffiths said: "The outstanding performance of Volkswagen's core business, has been so in China market, and has made progress in the United States." J. D. Power Shanghai analyst Jenny Gu pointed out: "Emerging markets are currently at the stage of consumer acceptance of automobiles, and there is ample room for growth. Volkswagen is aware of this and has invested a lot of energy in emerging markets."

In contrast, after Toyota’s earthquake and tsunami struck in March, the Southeast Asian factories were again dragged by the floods. As a result, Southeast Asian factories cut production. In the case of insufficient supply of parts and components in Southeast Asia, the Japanese factories were also cancelled. The original overtime.

Third, the follow-up forecast in 2012

However, these three analysts have disagreed on who will win the 2012 championship. IHS Automotive believes that Toyota Motor is recovering production and sales, and Volkswagen will have difficulty maintaining its global sales championship in 2012. It predicts Toyota's sales of 8.4 million units in 2012, which will exceed 500,000 units for Volkswagen.

But J. D. Power is optimistic that the public will continue to maintain their leading position. According to Jeff Schuster, the agency’s executive director of analysis and forecasting, “Toyota will return strongly next year, which will be an evenly matched battle.” It is forecast that in 2012 Volkswagen will overwhelm Toyota with a slight advantage of 50,000 and continue to lead.