Refined oil prices will welcome the 8th adjustment this year this weekend

“This year, the domestic refined oil pricing mechanism is back on track and is the first year since 2009 when the price adjustment of the first refined oil product should be reconciled and realigned.” Tung Lizhu, product analyst at Treasure Island, attended the “2012 China Petroleum Industry” on November 7th. The annual meeting pointed out that according to the current refined oil pricing mechanism, this year should be adjusted 7 times, and the actual adjustment is 7 times. According to market forecasts, the rate of change in the crude oil in the three places on Nov. 9 will fall below the red line of -4%. This weekend, the domestic market is expected to usher eight oil product price adjustments this year.

Dong Lizhu also pointed out that the refined oil market this year also has three characteristics: First, refinery processing capacity continues to upgrade, due to timely price adjustments, the main enthusiasm of the refinery production, operating rate reached 80%, while the refining process capacity is also 10 this year Monthly breakthrough of 100 million tons; Second, due to economic downturn, slowdown in demand for refined oil market; Third, domestic gasoline and diesel prices are weak.

Looking ahead to 2013, Dong Lizhu believes that from the international market, it is expected that international oil prices will weaken in 2013; while the domestic refined oil consumer market will bottom out, including steady increase in gasoline consumption, but the growth rate has declined and diesel consumption continues to deteriorate. The possibility is not great, but the increase is also limited.

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