·Automatic driving will enter mass production into strategic decision period within 5 years

The heat of self-driving is surpassing that of new energy vehicles. On May 18th, in the third session of the 2016 China Automotive Innovation Summit, the host of the 21st Century Business Herald in charge of the editorial board and the guests of the Volvo Car China R&D company, Shen Feng, J.D. Power Vice President and China General Manager Mei Songlin, Vice President of Corporate Communications of Bosch (China) Investment Co., Ltd. Jiang Jian, Ketong Core City Group and Hardcore Technology CMO Liu Hongwei, Baidu Car Network General Manager Gu Weijun, LeTV Supercar (China) Vice President of Intelligent Driving Ni Kai and Wang Xiaoming, director of the Research Office of the Development Research Center of the State Council, discussed the topic of Chinese opportunities driven by global automotive intelligence.
The guests thought that the market conditions and space for autonomous driving in China are already available, but the supporting infrastructure and laws and regulations still need time to improve. Many auto companies, including Volvo, are planning to mass-produce autonomous vehicles after five years of planning. However, if automakers do not apply the accumulated technology to traditional vehicles as soon as possible, they will lose their competition in the smart interconnection of automobiles in the future. The right to speak.
The market conditions and space for autonomous driving are already available. Moderator: What are the current status and opportunities for Chinese cars under the trend of electrification and intelligence?
Shen Feng: Due to the emergence of interconnection, intelligence and automatic driving, the car ecology has changed a lot. The car five years ago is very different from today's car. Volvo is at the forefront of smart transportation, intelligence and autonomous driving. Intelligent driving technology is getting closer and closer to our lives. It helps people, understand people, and liberate people.
Mei Songlin: In terms of new energy vehicles, we started very late, but we did a lot. Today, China's new energy vehicles account for 1.6% of the market and 0.6% of the US. Chinese consumers considered 10% of new energy vehicles in 2013 and 2014, and increased to 20% in 2015. In terms of autonomous driving, one-third of American consumers in 2016 are considering buying autonomous driving. The figure in China is 50%. In 2015, this figure is only 40%. Market conditions and space are already available.
Jiang Jian: Unmanned driving and interconnection, there is a lot of imagination in terms of technology. In this field, China has a lot of possibilities to do more than other places for three reasons. First, China's road conditions are very complicated, and the world may be the most complex. Therefore, if some technological breakthroughs are realized in China, it is inevitable. Leading the world; second, the various technical attempts made now must be the combination of software, hardware, sensors, etc., China has accumulated in the talent resources of all parties; third, China's market capital is very abundant, many enterprises The family is willing to try this investment.
Liu Hongwei: It may be a window period, the start of the Internet car or the entire Chinese car to a new level. All traditional vehicle manufacturers also have technology platforms that want to capture the future direction of new energy vehicles and Internet vehicles. Relatively speaking, Internet vehicles involve the degree of user acceptance, car data security, mobile banking account theft, data collection, platform protocol standards, etc., and the industrial chain is more complex. In this process, the connection between large enterprises and small and medium-sized innovative enterprises is a must, but now the connection is not so close.
Gu Weiwei: Baidu has a smart car strategy. Our positioning is a platform, a service chain industry. We cooperate with traditional car manufacturers to help them change from selling car industry to selling service industry. Connecting cars in the future is just a means. After connecting, you will definitely face many functions, including new business models.
One of the reasons why China has the most opportunity to develop autonomous driving is that any navigation in China is better than that used abroad, which greatly improves the technology and products. China's industrial environment is different from that of foreign countries. There are many imaginations in terms of unmanned vehicles, intelligent driving, sharing economy, or more new models. Therefore, from the perspective of technical products, market environment and future imagination, this industry has great potential for development in China.
Ni Kai: China has a very good opportunity in social demand. Intelligent cars have very unique sociological effects in China. For example, when traffic jams, people can liberate people from the boring driving experience and bring great convenience. Domestic pollution problems are more serious, and intelligent and electrified can improve driving efficiency, so there is a large demand for both society and individuals.
Another opportunity is that through the comparison of user surveys and market reports in different countries and regions, it can be seen that China's acceptance of autonomous driving is quite high, far ahead of Japan and Germany, which is related to national character and user habits.
Intelligent and Internet-based is the key to smart R&D in the future. If it is only intelligent, it will not go too far. It is very important to make the Internet possible. The Internet brings big data, intelligent driving and real-time update of map data. These applications can truly solve the last 1% of the smart driving steps. Solving the first 99% is relatively easy. As a technology with very high security requirements, solving the last 1% is the most important task.
Autopilot will be implemented on the highway within five years. Moderator: What is the scene of intelligent car after five years?
Shen Feng: Volvo is determined to launch mass-produced driverless cars on the market within five years. For the whole society, I don't think that all cars will be unmanned after five years. Both self-driving and non-automatic driving, driving together on the road, there is still a lot to do, and many things need to be discussed, such as regulatory issues, which must be solved before they are already in front of them.
Mei Songlin: In the next five years, everyone will accumulate a lot of technology in the process of autopilot and quickly apply it to traditional cars. Traditional cars will become smarter and smarter, with a lot of semi-automatic driving, and there may be a few self-driving cars on the road, and traditional cars become more competitive.
Jiang Jian: Autopilot should be achievable in 2020. In addition, many entertainment functions on the car can be realized, including songs that can be selected according to mood. The automatic driving achieved in 2020 is mainly on the highway, one exit to the other. After entering the highway, the owner can choose to drive automatically and then work. The car has become a mobile terminal, can write E-mail, communicate with others, no problem.
In addition, the car can be connected to the smart home at home, becoming a wider connection, very attractive. These technologies are not so far away, I think 2020 is fully achievable.
Liu Hongwei: It should be semi-automatic in 2020, fully automatic or subject to many factors. There is no technical problem, but from technology to application, it is subject to human acceptance, such as the regulation of the system. Fully automated driving may be used in some industries and where there is less restriction. In addition, the interconnection can be achieved within five years, not only connected to the home system, but even to the office system.
Gu Weijun: In addition to the automatic driving can go on the road, Baidu also hopes to expand more new business models with many partners, such as buying a car payment form, a new loan model, insurance, repair, maintenance and other business models. Throughout the entire cycle of the car, we hope to cooperate with OEMs, car manufacturers and other parties to expand more business models. Under the new business model, everyone has more capital to make better products.
Ni Kai: In the field of automatic driving, many people try it and it is possible to achieve it. Since there are already quite a few early adopters and users, it will definitely expose problems. There are some unmanned experiments in the United States, and there have been minor accidents. If a large number of users use it, such as some radical Internet cars, and hope to apply technology to the car faster, although it is hoped that it will be solid, but inevitably, there may be some accidents. The technology has great certainty within five years, the accident is uncertain, and the degree of uncertainty of autonomous driving has a great influence, which may have a certain impact on the entire autonomous driving industry.
Wang Xiaoming: I think that five years is indeed a key node, because by 2020, it is very likely that our domestic traditional automobile manufacturing industry will enter a time point where the capacity utilization is relatively surplus. This actually provides the Internet + car, car + Internet. Opportunity, there may be more capital to choose such a point in time as a strategic decision period.

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