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August passenger car market review In August, the opening car market was lower than expected. As a result of sufficient supply and promotional efforts, the automotive market has improved slightly. Coupled with the production and sales progress of some manufacturers, the wholesale sales volume is still good. At the end of the month, the wholesale volume of the last three days was nearly 300,000. In August, there was one business day more than in the same period last year, and there were more favorable factors for the two business days than in the previous month. The Guiyang limit license slightly expanded the panic buying of potential customers. The assault purchase for transporting children to and from school was also in August; it was necessary to cope with the September sales peak. Some car dealers with strength and less inventory are increasing their inventory; more new models launched by the company recently have reduced the shrinking of the market; the year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter sales of positive sales have increased, but retail sales and wholesale sales have increased. The year-on-year increase was lower than that in July, and the inventory of dealers also increased, indicating that the market did not show good signs. This is consistent with the expected result of the CLUCC team's prediction. Due to the upgrading of new cars and annual models, the transaction price has increased, reducing the overall decline in car prices.
In September, the passenger vehicle market estimated that the country last year had a working day in September last year. There is no such opportunity this year; September has 21 working days, which is 2 working days less than in August and one less than the same period of last year. On the working day, many companies use high-temperature holidays to increase their production capacity. By the end of September, they will be at the end of the third quarter. Therefore, the pressure on manufacturers to invent inventory will increase. In recent years, the state has included three types of bank deposits in deposit reserve deposits, which will freeze bank funds by more than 800 billion yuan. Under further monetary tightening, the effect of pressure stocks will be lower than before, which will have a negative impact on production and sales. September before the “October†Golden Week has always been the highest sales volume in the third quarter. Under the effect of the recent cancellation of Guiyang purchase restrictions and subsidies for energy-saving cars, the auto market will grow further than in August, but it lacks more effective impetus. Limited, if there are no major positive factors, the narrow increase in the number of retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles in September may further narrow. However, the number of wholesales and inventories will grow at a larger rate.
The domestic-funded passenger vehicle companies will not linger on the analysis of the passenger vehicle market in July. They talked about the 13 reasons for the recent decline in the self-owned brand market. As a result, the media has smashed its own brands, and in a year or two, the auto group will become political. The situation will change when the project of self-owned brand projects with a total investment of over 100 billion yuan starts to take off. Moreover, the total number of R&D personnel and R&D investment of domestic-funded enterprises has more than doubled that of joint ventures, which has led to rapid progress in technology and quality. This is the main reason for the rapid growth of exports. This year, the export of automobiles is ten times more than that of the domestic market. This is an important growth point for self-owned brands. When foreign media preached the “China Motor Threat Theory,†we ourselves are chanting! To make their own brands have to cut prices in the domestic promotion, export cars are rising prices! In the 1970s, black-and-white television was monopolized by Japan, and China’s 14-inch color TV was developed. The market just got up and it was imported into 17-inch color voltage. However, today we mainly buy domestic-made televisions, and the export volume also ranks first in the world. This is also the future of domestic-funded auto companies. The Chinese nation has this tenacity, but some literati do not.
The third phase of the fuel limit standard is not terrible. When the media recently speculated on the third phase of the fuel limit, they often used misinterpretation experts and leaders to speak and vilify their own brand enterprises. In fact, when the first and second stage fuel limit standards were implemented, there was no decline in sales volume of an independent brand enterprise. Last year, the state gave subsidy for energy-saving benefits to passenger cars that reached the third stage fuel limit standard. Among the narrower passenger cars below 1.6 liters, subsidized models accounted for 61% of market sales and RMB 12 billion. Subsidy funds spent only more than a year and spent most of their own brand models. At present, the German fuel limit standard is equivalent to China's fourth stage fuel limit standard. It is based on mature existing technology, rather than using hybrid power, such as start-stop device, gearbox plus overdrive, VVT engine, double There are more low-cost fuel-saving technologies such as clutch gearboxes. Several independent brand enterprises believe that any technological progress must be achieved through arduous efforts, and no manufacturers will be eliminated because they have not implemented the standards. However, it is difficult to achieve the fourth phase of the fuel limit standard, but there are more than eight years, and now it is important to realize it by 2020.
The relationship between vehicle manufacturers and distributors The relationship between vehicle manufacturers and distributors is, from a large category, the relationship between manufacturing and service industries. Therefore, dealers are companies that provide services to OEMs. The marketing and after-sales services of the automotive industry all over the world are dominated by vehicle manufacturers. The world’s consumers are also concerned about car manufacturers and car brands. In addition, the workload of automobiles is more than several times to dozens of times more than that of any consumer goods after-sales service, and they must also receive repeated training from manufacturers to determine that the dominant position of auto manufacturers will not be. change. The strong and rapid development of the dealer group in China is the development opportunity created by the vehicle manufacturers for distributors. Moreover, with the development of dealer groups, it is possible to prevent vehicle manufacturers from imposing policies that impair the enthusiasm of dealers, but auto manufacturers’ dominance of brands and channels is unquestionable. The media should not use the cart before the horse to solicit the relationship between manufacturers and distributors. The relationship between them is harmonious, mutual benefit, and win-win. The power and position of distributors are already clear in national policies and cannot be subverted. By borrowing the worst dealers, there are ethical issues with authors denying the auto manufacturers' marketing policies!
Discussion on new energy vehicles According to national policies, the subsidies for new energy vehicles can be divided into four categories: 1. Plug-in hybrid vehicles that use the internal combustion engine as their main driving force. Such vehicles have high prices and are difficult to popularize. For example, hybrid vehicles are equipped with plug-in devices, but they do not increase the capacity of batteries and motors, and further energy conservation is limited. However, national subsidies can be applied, so policies should be improved. 2. The plug-in hybrid vehicle with motor as its main power has a lower price and is a natural "automatic transmission". Its power economy is good, because the motor, generator and internal combustion engine can be vehicles when it is accelerated. Provide power for a short time. It is the main model for the initial stage of the popularization of new energy vehicles, such as BYD's F3DM. 3. Electric vehicles with a range extender (including hydrogen-fueled cars) are more practical than electric vehicles when running long-distance or air conditioning in winter and summer. 4. The price of pure electric vehicles will be greatly reduced in the future, but the cruising range is short. Currently, there is a charging environment and the daily mileage is short, so using pure electric vehicles is the first choice. However, when air conditioning is used in winter and summer, it will consume a lot of electricity, which will reduce the cruising range, and will require a more significant breakthrough in battery technology before it can eventually replace fuel vehicles.
The viewpoints and recommendations of the Alliance for New Energy Vehicles are as follows: 1. The original intention of new energy vehicles is to replace petroleum with electricity, and calculations with backward power generation equipment cannot explain that new energy vehicles will not save energy and reduce emissions in the future. 2. Low-speed electric vehicles have very few new technologies. These companies also want to use new technologies to promote subsidies, and they also want to get auto production qualifications. If they succeed, they will worsen the untidy industry of the automotive industry. 3. The reduction of taxes and fees will accelerate the promotion of new energy vehicles. However, the popularity of new energy vehicles depends mainly on low usage fees, reduced battery costs, and long life. 4. China's new energy vehicles are in the stage of demonstration and operation in pilot cities. New energy vehicles have entered the initial stage of popularization, and demonstration operations have only ended. The market is completely open at the end of the “Twelfth Five-year Plan†period. 5. Local subsidies have market barriers, which have caused the slow promotion of new energy vehicles. 6. The Ministry of Science and Technology shall cancel the pilot qualifications for cities that have not explicitly announced local subsidies this year; and set up a national pilot directory for products of new energy vehicle companies that fully comply with the policies and standards.
7. The number of pilot cities for private car purchases should be expanded, and the amount of local subsidies must be announced first. 8. Battery replacement and battery leasing are not suitable for passenger cars, but also increase the burden on users. 9. China’s output of lithium iron phosphate batteries and separators is the largest in the world and has been exported in large quantities, which is totally contrary to media reports. 10, foreign investors want to enter the field of new energy vehicles in China, is a low-cost lithium iron phosphate batteries. 11. The average fuel consumption system should not include pure electric vehicles with zero fuel consumption because it has the effect of slowing down the technical progress of China's fuel vehicles. 12. According to the definition of new energy vehicles in China, Nissan LEAF pure electric vehicles currently have the largest market size, and sales will exceed 15,000 vehicles this year. 13. The state should only support 3-4 companies in the R&D and promotion of new energy vehicles. Only in this way can it be both vigorous and solid, or else it is empty talk. 14. New energy vehicles are a 100-year-old industry. In the long-term plan, low carbonization of automobiles is a gradual development process. Substituting 50% of fuel oil for 20 years will be a huge success and a complete revolution.
In September, the passenger vehicle market estimated that the country last year had a working day in September last year. There is no such opportunity this year; September has 21 working days, which is 2 working days less than in August and one less than the same period of last year. On the working day, many companies use high-temperature holidays to increase their production capacity. By the end of September, they will be at the end of the third quarter. Therefore, the pressure on manufacturers to invent inventory will increase. In recent years, the state has included three types of bank deposits in deposit reserve deposits, which will freeze bank funds by more than 800 billion yuan. Under further monetary tightening, the effect of pressure stocks will be lower than before, which will have a negative impact on production and sales. September before the “October†Golden Week has always been the highest sales volume in the third quarter. Under the effect of the recent cancellation of Guiyang purchase restrictions and subsidies for energy-saving cars, the auto market will grow further than in August, but it lacks more effective impetus. Limited, if there are no major positive factors, the narrow increase in the number of retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles in September may further narrow. However, the number of wholesales and inventories will grow at a larger rate.
The domestic-funded passenger vehicle companies will not linger on the analysis of the passenger vehicle market in July. They talked about the 13 reasons for the recent decline in the self-owned brand market. As a result, the media has smashed its own brands, and in a year or two, the auto group will become political. The situation will change when the project of self-owned brand projects with a total investment of over 100 billion yuan starts to take off. Moreover, the total number of R&D personnel and R&D investment of domestic-funded enterprises has more than doubled that of joint ventures, which has led to rapid progress in technology and quality. This is the main reason for the rapid growth of exports. This year, the export of automobiles is ten times more than that of the domestic market. This is an important growth point for self-owned brands. When foreign media preached the “China Motor Threat Theory,†we ourselves are chanting! To make their own brands have to cut prices in the domestic promotion, export cars are rising prices! In the 1970s, black-and-white television was monopolized by Japan, and China’s 14-inch color TV was developed. The market just got up and it was imported into 17-inch color voltage. However, today we mainly buy domestic-made televisions, and the export volume also ranks first in the world. This is also the future of domestic-funded auto companies. The Chinese nation has this tenacity, but some literati do not.
The third phase of the fuel limit standard is not terrible. When the media recently speculated on the third phase of the fuel limit, they often used misinterpretation experts and leaders to speak and vilify their own brand enterprises. In fact, when the first and second stage fuel limit standards were implemented, there was no decline in sales volume of an independent brand enterprise. Last year, the state gave subsidy for energy-saving benefits to passenger cars that reached the third stage fuel limit standard. Among the narrower passenger cars below 1.6 liters, subsidized models accounted for 61% of market sales and RMB 12 billion. Subsidy funds spent only more than a year and spent most of their own brand models. At present, the German fuel limit standard is equivalent to China's fourth stage fuel limit standard. It is based on mature existing technology, rather than using hybrid power, such as start-stop device, gearbox plus overdrive, VVT engine, double There are more low-cost fuel-saving technologies such as clutch gearboxes. Several independent brand enterprises believe that any technological progress must be achieved through arduous efforts, and no manufacturers will be eliminated because they have not implemented the standards. However, it is difficult to achieve the fourth phase of the fuel limit standard, but there are more than eight years, and now it is important to realize it by 2020.
The relationship between vehicle manufacturers and distributors The relationship between vehicle manufacturers and distributors is, from a large category, the relationship between manufacturing and service industries. Therefore, dealers are companies that provide services to OEMs. The marketing and after-sales services of the automotive industry all over the world are dominated by vehicle manufacturers. The world’s consumers are also concerned about car manufacturers and car brands. In addition, the workload of automobiles is more than several times to dozens of times more than that of any consumer goods after-sales service, and they must also receive repeated training from manufacturers to determine that the dominant position of auto manufacturers will not be. change. The strong and rapid development of the dealer group in China is the development opportunity created by the vehicle manufacturers for distributors. Moreover, with the development of dealer groups, it is possible to prevent vehicle manufacturers from imposing policies that impair the enthusiasm of dealers, but auto manufacturers’ dominance of brands and channels is unquestionable. The media should not use the cart before the horse to solicit the relationship between manufacturers and distributors. The relationship between them is harmonious, mutual benefit, and win-win. The power and position of distributors are already clear in national policies and cannot be subverted. By borrowing the worst dealers, there are ethical issues with authors denying the auto manufacturers' marketing policies!
Discussion on new energy vehicles According to national policies, the subsidies for new energy vehicles can be divided into four categories: 1. Plug-in hybrid vehicles that use the internal combustion engine as their main driving force. Such vehicles have high prices and are difficult to popularize. For example, hybrid vehicles are equipped with plug-in devices, but they do not increase the capacity of batteries and motors, and further energy conservation is limited. However, national subsidies can be applied, so policies should be improved. 2. The plug-in hybrid vehicle with motor as its main power has a lower price and is a natural "automatic transmission". Its power economy is good, because the motor, generator and internal combustion engine can be vehicles when it is accelerated. Provide power for a short time. It is the main model for the initial stage of the popularization of new energy vehicles, such as BYD's F3DM. 3. Electric vehicles with a range extender (including hydrogen-fueled cars) are more practical than electric vehicles when running long-distance or air conditioning in winter and summer. 4. The price of pure electric vehicles will be greatly reduced in the future, but the cruising range is short. Currently, there is a charging environment and the daily mileage is short, so using pure electric vehicles is the first choice. However, when air conditioning is used in winter and summer, it will consume a lot of electricity, which will reduce the cruising range, and will require a more significant breakthrough in battery technology before it can eventually replace fuel vehicles.
The viewpoints and recommendations of the Alliance for New Energy Vehicles are as follows: 1. The original intention of new energy vehicles is to replace petroleum with electricity, and calculations with backward power generation equipment cannot explain that new energy vehicles will not save energy and reduce emissions in the future. 2. Low-speed electric vehicles have very few new technologies. These companies also want to use new technologies to promote subsidies, and they also want to get auto production qualifications. If they succeed, they will worsen the untidy industry of the automotive industry. 3. The reduction of taxes and fees will accelerate the promotion of new energy vehicles. However, the popularity of new energy vehicles depends mainly on low usage fees, reduced battery costs, and long life. 4. China's new energy vehicles are in the stage of demonstration and operation in pilot cities. New energy vehicles have entered the initial stage of popularization, and demonstration operations have only ended. The market is completely open at the end of the “Twelfth Five-year Plan†period. 5. Local subsidies have market barriers, which have caused the slow promotion of new energy vehicles. 6. The Ministry of Science and Technology shall cancel the pilot qualifications for cities that have not explicitly announced local subsidies this year; and set up a national pilot directory for products of new energy vehicle companies that fully comply with the policies and standards.
7. The number of pilot cities for private car purchases should be expanded, and the amount of local subsidies must be announced first. 8. Battery replacement and battery leasing are not suitable for passenger cars, but also increase the burden on users. 9. China’s output of lithium iron phosphate batteries and separators is the largest in the world and has been exported in large quantities, which is totally contrary to media reports. 10, foreign investors want to enter the field of new energy vehicles in China, is a low-cost lithium iron phosphate batteries. 11. The average fuel consumption system should not include pure electric vehicles with zero fuel consumption because it has the effect of slowing down the technical progress of China's fuel vehicles. 12. According to the definition of new energy vehicles in China, Nissan LEAF pure electric vehicles currently have the largest market size, and sales will exceed 15,000 vehicles this year. 13. The state should only support 3-4 companies in the R&D and promotion of new energy vehicles. Only in this way can it be both vigorous and solid, or else it is empty talk. 14. New energy vehicles are a 100-year-old industry. In the long-term plan, low carbonization of automobiles is a gradual development process. Substituting 50% of fuel oil for 20 years will be a huge success and a complete revolution.
August production
August domestic sales table
August wholesale sales table
2005-2010 monthly sales of passenger cars ( car /MPV/SUV)
Narrow Passenger Vehicle Manufacturer Sales Rank (August Domestic Sales Combined Number )
Narrow passenger vehicle manufacturer sales ranking (August domestic and foreign sales wholesale number )
General Motor Vehicle Manufacturer Sales Rank (August Domestic Sales Combined Number )
General Motor Vehicle Manufacturer Sales Rank (August Domestic and Foreign Sales Wholesale Number )
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